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Miami Herald
Miami waits in the shadows of WTO summit
BY JANE BUSSEY
Protesters, peasants and political pundits
will make a show of force as world officials gather for the World Trade Organization
summit set to open in Cancun, Mexico, on Wednesday.
But for the first time since disputes over global trade
burst onto the international scene with the 1999 Seattle protests, the fireworks
inside the talks may overshadow the heat on the streets.
As trade ministers from 146 countries attempt to break
the current stalemate over trade negotiations, a number of developing countries
have begun their own rebellion against the trade agenda of the richer countries
in Europe and the United States. Led by Brazil, India and China, a group of
20 countries is demanding industrialized countries slash their farm subsidies
before discussing lower tariffs on manufactured goods or agreeing to expand
the scope of this round of negotiations to "new issues.''
''We are feeling there is no momentum for a new round,''
said Sarah Larrain of the Chilean Ecological Action Network.
This protest comes some 20 years after a never-repeated
North-South Summit -- also held in Cancun -- buried Third World aspirations
for a ''new world order'' and ushered in the wave of deregulation, privatization
and trade liberalization that has characterized domestic and foreign policies.
The United States has tried to lower expectations about
the outcomes of the talk, but officials are still upbeat, especially after an
agreement to help poor countries gain access to medicines.
''Our goal in Cancun is to provide the appropriate frameworks
for us to negotiate real and ambitious trade reform,'' U.S. Trade Representative
Robert B. Zoellick said in a statement, calling on other countries to ``work
constructively towards a positive outcome.''
The WTO trade ministerial being held Sept. 10-14 in Cancun
also foreshadows the Nov. 20-21 meeting of Western Hemisphere trade ministers
in Miami to negotiate the proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas.
Setbacks to the Bush administration's trade agenda in
Cancun could create the same logjam in Miami, experts predict.
''The FTAA is so loaded in the United States and in Brazil,
I don't think it is possible in 2004,'' said Washington trade expert Gary Hufbauer,
a senior fellow at the Institute for International Economics. "They will make
progress and they are paring down the agenda. If you pare it down enough, you
can declare it a success.''
Thousands of Mexican peasants are set to join seasoned
activists to protest the scope and tone of trade talks. But trying to prevent
a repeat of street battles like Seattle, Mexican authorities will try to confine
demonstrators to the mainland, separated by two bridges from the spit of land
lined with resort hotels where trade negotiators, industry observers, nongovernmental
groups and the international press will be.
French courts have barred anti-globalization hero and
WTO veteran protester Jose Bove from leaving France.
But there are plenty of other advocates ready to take
his place.
After Mexico City's Reforma newspaper published a list
of antiglobalization activists being tracked by the Mexican government, several
thousand more sent messages to Mexico City asking to be included on the list.
Trade talks have become such magnets for controversy because
the negotiations behind closed doors translate into policies that affect daily
lives.
From questions over whether water systems, educational
services and even the postal system will become fair game for privatization
to whether the California champagne can actually bear the name, trade talks
are about much more than tariffs.
After the failure of the WTO's 1999 ministerial meeting
in Seattle to agree to launch a new round of talks, trade negotiators finally
settled on the talks in the November 2001 WTO meeting in Doha, Qatar. With the
world still stunned by the September terrorist attacks, Zoellick successfully
argued that failure to advance the trade agenda would be a boost to terrorists.
But in the path from Doha to Cancun, trade negotiations
have missed every major deadline -- meetings in the WTO headquarters in Doha
have evolved into frequent bickering and the number of trade disputes mounts
weekly.
The problem confronting the Cancun meeting is that developing
countries perceive the current ''development round'' as benefiting industrialized
nations. Protesters charge that trade agreements answer to the needs of big
corporations, intent on international deregulation and ignoring the needs of
family farms, workers and environmental protection.
The stance by the group of 20 countries ''really makes
a huge difference in the balance of power in Cancun,'' said Adriano Campolina
Soares, director of ActionAid Brazil.
''People think you in the United States are only willing
to give peanuts on agricultural [concessions] but are charging an amazingly
enormous price for that, which are the new issues,'' Campolina said in a Thursday
conference call.
Negotiators arrive in Cancun with progress stalled, specifically
on the U.S.-backed plan to launch negotiations on ''new issues,'' including
government procurement, competition, trade facilitation and a new investment
agreement to limit governments' ability to place checks on trade and investment.
In an effort to break the stalemate, the United States
worked out a pharmaceutical agreement a week ago that will allow poor countries
access to cheaper drugs to fight deadly diseases such as AIDS and malaria.
But the problem of agricultural subsidies in developed
countries and lower tariffs for manufactured products have proven to be intractable.
Further complicating talks is the crisis in the U.S. manufacturing
sector, where some 2.5 million jobs have been lost since President Bush took
office. And as farm expert Daryll E. Ray, professor of agricultural economics
at the University of Tennessee, pointed out, just eliminating agricultural subsidies
in the United States and Europe will not lead to higher crop prices needed to
improve farm economies everywhere.
John Cavanagh, director of the Institute for Policy Studies,
said the crisis in trade talks stems from the shift in world views on trade.
"The WTO is the creation of a previous era when freer markets and freer trade
were seen as the answer to most things.''
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